India’s Commercial Real Estate: A 2025 Outlook on Growth and Investment

    By SQUAREA Knowledge Hub

    Published: May 23, 2025

    Real Estate in Pune - India’s Commercial Real Estate: A 2025 Outlook on Growth and Investment.

    2024 delivered a record-breaking year in terms of absorption and sustainable supply. Leasing volumes hit historic highs, green-certified spaces gained overwhelming tenant preference, and development activity concentrated in markets with infrastructure depth and regulatory readiness. Additionally, it also laid down a blueprint for what investors must now focus on, in 2025. But to assess where commercial real estate is headed in 2025, it is essential to begin with the underlying patterns that defined the last calendar year.

    2024 Commercial Real Estate Performance: Scale, Structure, and Signals for What’s Next
    India’s office market achieved its highest-ever gross absorption in 2024, recording 79 million sq. ft. of leasing activity, a 16% year-on-year increase (CBRE Q4 2024). This expansion was led by Global Capability Centres, BFSI institutions, and technology majors, each demonstrating a preference for Grade-A and future-ready commercial assets.

    What set this leasing cycle apart was not just the volume, but the structure of the demand. Key trends included:

    • Long-Term Tenancy: Occupiers moved towards multi-year commitments, preferring lease durations that reflect long-term operational alignment and capex recovery stability.
    • Escalation Clauses: Structured rent escalations, built into lease terms ensured predictable yield growth for asset owners and long-term visibility for investors.
    • Compliance-Led Infrastructure:Tenants actively sought buildings with global compliance standards, digital readiness, and sustainability certifications such as LEED or IGBC.
    • ESG-Centric Decision Making: Leasing preferences reflected increasing pressure from corporate ESG mandates, making green-certified buildings the default rather than the differentiator.

    These shifts in leasing behaviour highlight more than market momentum, they indicate a set of qualitative filters now shaping both occupier and investor decisions. For 2025, recognising these benchmarks is essential to understanding where capital is consolidating and why certain assets are outperforming.

    2025 Investment Blueprint

    India’s commercial office sectors performance is being driven by a multitude of factors. As capital becomes more discerning, three critical filters have emerged at the centre of commercial real estate decision-making: sustainability, grade relevance, and micro-market precision.

    Sustainability

    In Q4 2024, over 50% of new office completions were green-certified, with 80–85% of future pipeline expected to follow this trend (CBRE Q4 2024, ET Realty). Furthermore, more than 70% of leasing activity took place in green-certified buildings, underscoring ESG compliance as a central occupier requirement.

    This transition not only reflects a regulatory obligation, but also a core strategic priority for global tenants. Corporate sustainability goals and green-certified infrastructure is now non-negotiable. Developers are adjusting accordingly, embedding compliance, energy efficiency, and smart design from the outset.

    Grade Relevance

    India’s commercial leasing landscape in 2024 was dominated by the surge in demand for Grade-A office assets. Gross leasing activity across the top six cities reached 47 million sq. ft. by Q3, representing a 23% year-on-year increase, and by year-end, Grade-A absorption was projected to cross 60 million sq. ft., the highest in India’s history (Economic Times).

    But even within the Grade-A category, a deeper shift is underway. The market is now favouring “relevant-grade” buildings, assets that go beyond minimum classification standards to deliver digital integration, ESG compliance, wellness infrastructure, and future-proof layouts.

    Micro-Market Precision

    Alongside sustainability and grade, micro-market selection is emerging as a third determinant of asset performance. Institutional capital is not spreading widely, it is going deep, favouring established corridors with infrastructure depth, high occupier density, and regulatory clarity.

    This targeted deployment is most evident in Pune, Bengaluru, and Hyderabad. These cities accounted for 67% of India’s total new office completions in 2024, contributing to a cumulative 52.3 million sq. ft. of new supply (CBRE Q4 2024). Within these cities, select submarkets have consistently absorbed the bulk of institutional leasing activity due to their alignment with occupier priorities, operational resilience, and compliance infrastructure.

    Among these, Pune, and more specifically, Kharadi NX, has evolved from a promising node to a strategic investment destination, setting a new institutional standard in micro-market performance.

    Pune and Kharadi NX: A High-Conviction Market promising Growth

    With robust infrastructure, a strong tenant base, and high-grade development activity, Pune ranked among the top three cities for leasing and new completions in 2024. Within this landscape, Kharadi NX has also transitioned from a growth node to a fully institutionalised commercial corridor. It now offers the core fundamentals that investors seek: connectivity, tenant concentration, and scalable asset formats designed for long-hold performance.

    Key drivers fuelling Kharadi NX’s ascent include:

    • Proximity to Pune International Airport and the Central Business District
    • Upcoming connectivity via Pune Metro Line 2 and the Ring Road corridor
    • Presence of global occupiers across IT, BFSI, and consulting sectors
    • Availability of LEED- and IGBC-certified campuses with flexible layouts and integrated ESG infrastructure

    One of the key developments include Omicron Business Landmarks, a project that exemplifies the market’s direction. It features high-efficiency office formats, integrated ESG infrastructure, and strategic connectivity, making it well-positioned to attract long-term, high-value tenants.

    And we at SQUAREA, specialise in identifying such institutional-grade commercial assets across India’s most resilient and performance-led markets. Whether your objective is income yield or long-hold appreciation, our expert team will align your strategy with developments that meet international benchmarks and domestic regulatory confidence. Write to us at hello@squarea.io or call +91 90 9641 9641 to capitalise on this opportunity strategically!


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    4 October 2025
    From Data to Decisions: How AI Is Powering Smarter Real Estate Investments

    Real estate has always been a sector shaped by information asymmetry. For Indian HNIs and UHNIs, choosing the right investment has often meant relying on intuition, fragmented data, or market sentiment. Today, this landscape is changing. Artificial Intelligence (AI) is reshaping how investors identify opportunities, manage assets, and forecast returns, turning vast and complex datasets into actionable insights.

    The global AI in real estate market, valued at USD 2.9 billion in 2024, is projected to expand to USD 41.5 billion by 2033, reflecting the scale of adoption across the industry (Artsmart AI). For Indian investors, where real estate remains a critical asset class, AI-powered tools are quickly becoming the differentiator between conventional decision-making and future-ready investing.

    As adoption grows and capital flows in, it becomes important to measure the scale of the AI opportunities that are reshaping the sector.

    The Scale Of AI’s Impact On Real Estate

    The operational efficiencies that AI brings to real estate are significant. Studies show that approximately 37% of real estate tasks can be automated, especially in areas such as administrative support, property management, and maintenance, unlocking an estimated $34 billion in efficiencies (Morgan Stanley).

    This is not just about automation but about redefining the economics of real estate. AI adoption is creating measurable value across subsectors:

    • Lodging, healthcare, and brokerage REITs could see operating cash flows rise by up to 34% due to AI-driven efficiencies. (Morgan Stanley)
    • PropTech innovation has accelerated, with more than 500 firms globally integrating AI to drive better decision-making, cost savings, and tenant engagement. (JLL)
    • By enhancing how large, unstructured datasets are synthesised, AI improves outcomes in leasing, investment, and property management. (McKinsey)

    As efficiency grows, the real edge will go to investors who use AI at the core of their strategy. The next step is moving from instinct to evidence in everyday decisions.

    Moving From Intuition To AI-powered Data-Led Decisions

    Historically, property investments were often made based on peer references. While experience has its place, AI now provides a scientific edge, allowing investors to navigate markets with sharper precision.

    Here is how AI is transforming decision-making for Indian HNIs and UHNIs:

    • Market analysis: AI can track micro-market trends in real time, from absorption rates to pricing anomalies, offering investors a clear picture of demand and supply dynamics.
    • Risk assessment: Predictive models evaluate tenant creditworthiness, regulatory risks, and even maintenance forecasts, reducing uncertainty in investment decisions.
    • Portfolio optimisation: AI tools rebalance portfolios based on return expectations, cash flow projections, and sector-specific opportunities.
    • Transaction efficiency: By automating documentation checks and compliance reviews, AI shortens deal cycles and enhances transparency.

    As investors move beyond traditional methods, the ability to combine human judgment with AI-led insights becomes a powerful formula for wealth preservation and growth. These shifts are most visible in India’s high-growth markets, where AI is already reshaping how assets are priced, leased, and managed.

    How AI Is Reshaping The Indian Real Estate Market

    The implications of AI go beyond operational efficiency. In India’s high-growth markets, AI is influencing both institutional and private investment strategies.

    • Residential markets are benefiting from smarter pricing models that use historical transaction data, infrastructure upgrades, and lifestyle trends to forecast appreciation potential.
    • Commercial leasing is becoming more efficient, with AI systems matching occupiers to properties based on usage patterns and financial metrics.
    • Property management is evolving, as AI-powered platforms monitor energy usage, predict maintenance issues, and enhance tenant satisfaction, all of which protect asset values.
    • Investor services, such as brokerage and advisory, are using generative AI to deliver personalised recommendations tailored to investor profiles and risk appetite.

    In a market as diverse and dynamic as India, this shift means investors can act with greater confidence, backed by data rather than speculation. And looking ahead, the role of AI even extends beyond efficiency to the way people live, work, and engage with built spaces.

    The Future: Smarter Investments With AI-Powered Insights

    While efficiency gains remain central, the broader impact of AI is its ability to redefine how people interact with real estate. Leading global advisory research indicates that AI will augment productivity, create new job opportunities, and reshape how spaces are used in sectors such as housing, healthcare, and retail.

    For Indian investors, this means three key outcomes:

    • Higher-quality deal flow driven by smarter analysis
    • Stronger operating performance in income-generating assets
    • Long-term resilience as portfolios are aligned with future-proofed demand drivers

    To translate these advantages into results, investors benefit from partners who operationalise AI across sourcing, diligence, and portfolio management.

    At SQUAREA, we integrate AI-powered insights into every stage of the investment journey. From identifying undervalued assets to structuring portfolios and monitoring performance, our advisory ensures that clients benefit from the latest in data-driven decision-making. For tailored guidance and access to India’s most prestigious properties, reach out at hello@squarea.io or call +91 90 9641 9641.

    4 October 2025
    The Future of Mixed-Use Luxury Developments: Where Work, Leisure & Lifestyle Converge

    Indian real estate is evolving beyond standalone towers and gated enclaves. For today’s discerning HNIs and UHNIs, the most attractive opportunities lie in developments that combine residential, commercial, retail, hospitality, and wellness elements into one integrated ecosystem. These mixed-use luxury projects bring together workspaces, homes, and leisure in a way that reflects global urban living trends.

    The investment story is equally compelling. In Q1 2025, mixed-use real estate attracted USD 191 million in institutional inflows in India, compared with just USD 42 million in the same period earlier (Economic Times). Such momentum underscores how this asset class is moving from niche to mainstream. Before assessing growth numbers, however, it is important to understand what mixed-use luxury truly means and what creates its premium.

    Defining Mixed-Use Luxury and What Creates Its Premium

    Mixed-use luxury developments go beyond simply consolidating various functions under a single roof. They are curated ecosystems where residential, commercial, retail, and hospitality assets work in synergy. Formats range from vertical towers with stacked uses to horizontal districts built around transit and cultural spaces.

    What differentiates them in the luxury space is the attention to lifestyle and service. Branded residences with concierge access, hotel-grade hospitality, wellness clubs, and international dining elevate the standard of living while also creating enduring demand.

    Several factors contribute to the premium these projects command:

    • Placemaking: Curated retail, dining, and cultural experiences create vibrant all-day destinations
    • Hospitality integration: Concierge services, wellness clubs, and serviced residences enhance both lifestyle and rental appeal
    • Sustainability: Green certifications, energy-efficient design, and responsible water management increasingly drive investor and tenant choices
    • Technology: AI-enabled building systems, digital leasing platforms, and predictive maintenance improve efficiency and tenant experience

    With these fundamentals in place, mixed-use luxury developments stand uniquely positioned to outperform. The next step for investors is to assess why this segment offers such strong advantages compared with conventional assets.

    The Investment Edge of Mixed-Use Luxury

    For HNIs and UHNIs, the appeal of mixed-use luxury lies in both yield and resilience. While conventional urban residential assets typically generate 2.5-3.5% annual returns, hospitality-integrated or mixed-use projects often deliver 8-9%, especially when supported by professional leasing or short-term rental programmes. (Commercial Design India)

    Beyond higher yields, these assets diversify income across residential, retail, office, and hospitality streams, reducing reliance on a single sector. Capital appreciation is stronger due to placemaking, brand partnerships, and infrastructure proximity, while liquidity is enhanced by a wide buyer base ranging from end-users to institutions.

    Naturally, both private and institutional capital are increasing their exposure to this segment. The focus now is on where this growth is taking shape most prominently.

    Capital Flows And City Hotspots Driving Mixed-Use Momentum

    Institutional capital signals a decisive shift. Investment into mixed-use real estate in India surged in Q1 2025, and the segment’s share of total real estate investment is projected to reach 18-20% by the year’s end. (Economic Times) This reflects a structural reallocation of capital towards integrated formats.

    The trend is visible at the city level too. Pune has recorded a 20-30% rise in mixed-use projects over the past five years, with Hinjewadi, Kharadi, Magarpatta, and Baner emerging as leading hotspots (Times of India). These hubs highlight how integrated developments can reshape micro-markets by creating new demand drivers and lifting values across asset categories.

    Fuelling this growth are powerful demand catalysts - hybrid work patterns, the rise of 20-minute neighbourhoods, a rebound in tourism, and the growing pull of experiential retail. These forces make it evident that mixed-use luxury will keep expanding across India’s leading cities. With the growth story clear, the focus now shifts to how the future of this asset class will take shape.

    What Will Shape Mixed-Use Luxury Between 2025 and 2030

    The next five years will be decisive in defining how mixed-use luxury evolves across India. This cycle will focus on scale and the qualitative shifts that determine which projects keep investors interested.

    • Transit-first living: Metro-led hubs and the emergence of “20-minute neighbourhoods” will set the benchmark for absorption and rental premiums.
    • Hospitality-driven communities: Branded residences and serviced apartments will blur the line between residential and hospitality, catering to global citizens, executives, and mobile professionals.
    • Wellness as a core pillar:Preventive healthcare, longevity services, and integrated wellness centres will shift from optional add-ons to core features in mixed-use precincts.
    • Adaptive reuse: Underperforming malls and Grade B office assets will be repositioned as high-performing mixed-use centres, creating value in overlooked markets.
    • AI and PropTech adoption: Predictive demand analytics, dynamic leasing, and AI-powered building systems will become standard, reducing costs while improving investor visibility into performance.
    • Climate-conscious design: ESG benchmarks will increasingly influence both tenant choices and institutional capital allocation, making sustainable mixed-use assets more liquid and premium.

    For investors, the message is clear: early commitment to high-quality, professionally managed mixed-use luxury assets will unlock superior returns and long-term resilience.

    At SQUAREA, we provide curated access to India’s most exclusive mixed-use luxury developments and guide investors through every stage of the journey, from evaluation to execution. For tailored advice and first access to upcoming opportunities, connect with us at hello@squarea.io or call +91 90 9641 9641.

    17 September 2025
    Investment Portfolio Management for HNIs: Real Estate vs Equities in India’s Wealth Landscape

    In an era of global uncertainty, balancing growth with capital protection has become paramount. And, for India’s wealthy, investment choices extend beyond the traditional to those that deliver resilience, legacy, and tangible value. Recent data shows that around 60 per cent of India’s Uber Rich wealth remains parked in real estate and gold, highlighting the continued preference for physical assets over volatile financial markets. (Economic Times)

    Against this backdrop, the debate around residential real estate vs equities is sharper than ever. The distinction lies not only in potential returns but in the sustainability, stability, and strategic function each asset contributes to an HNI or UHNI portfolio. This makes it essential to first understand why real estate continues to anchor HNI wealth before assessing equities in comparison.

    The Role of Real Estate in HNI Wealth Creation

    The preference for property stems from its tangible, income-yielding, and inflation-hedging qualities. Unlike equities, residential real estate is both a lifestyle asset and an appreciating investment.

    • Long-term appreciation: Knight Frank highlights consistent residential price growth across India, with 7.7% year-on-year gains in Q1 2025, outpacing inflation. (Knight Frank)
    • Tangibility and use: Homes serve dual roles, personal use and wealth preservation, making them more than just financial instruments.
    • Rental yield resilience: With Grade A housing in metros offering stable rental income, the property provides steady cash flows.
    • Hedge against volatility: Real estate is less correlated to stock markets, insulating portfolios against short-term swings.

    This explains why wealth creation through real estate remains central to HNI investment strategies India, with property often forming the largest asset class in their holdings. To understand the contrast, it is important to evaluate what equities bring to the table.

    The Role of Equities in HNI Wealth Creation

    Equities, both domestic and global, remain a vital channel for growth-oriented investors. They provide higher liquidity, scalability, and exposure to innovation-led sectors.

    • Higher growth potential: Over long horizons, equities have delivered stronger compounded returns, especially in emerging markets like India.
    • Liquidity and flexibility: Shares can be bought or sold almost instantly, making equities essential for tactical portfolio rebalancing.
    • Global exposure Access to global equities allows investors to tap into trends in technology, energy, and healthcare.
    • Dividend streams: Large-cap and blue-chip stocks often provide reliable dividends alongside capital appreciation.

    This upside comes with cyclical volatility and exposure to macro shocks, making them less suited for those prioritising capital preservation. It is here that a direct comparison between real estate vs stock market returns becomes essential.

    Real Estate vs Stock Market Returns

    When directly compared, real estate and equities offer distinct outcomes depending on time horizon and risk appetite.

    Asset Class Typical Annual Return Volatility & Stability For HNI Portfolios
    Residential Real Estate 8-10% expected annual price growth in key cities in the next 5 years (K Raheja) Low. Values change gradually, providing steady, predictable gains Excellent for diversifying risk and preserving wealth
    Equities (Indian Stocks) Nifty 50 delivers ~12–14% average annual returns (Finextra) High. capable of rapid swings driven by macro events and sentiment Great for long-term growth and liquidity, but subject to market cycles

    Thus, while equities can accelerate wealth in growth phases, property delivers sustainability and legacy value. This is precisely why Indian HNIs continue to favour real estate over other avenues.

    Why HNIs Continue To Favour Real Estate

    HNI and UHNI portfolios in India reflect cultural preference and strategic choice. The Bernstein report underscores this: Out of USD 2.7 trillion in serviceable assets owned by India’s Uber Rich, around 60 per cent still remains in real estate and gold. (Economic Times)

    • Intergenerational wealth: Property is seen as a legacy asset that can be passed down securely.
    • Inflation hedge: Rising replacement costs and rental escalations protect real estate’s long-term value.
    • Prestige and identity: Ownership of marquee residences in Mumbai, Delhi, or Pune is also a marker of social capital.
    • Global parallels: DAMAC highlights similar trends in the Middle East, where UHNIs allocate significantly to prime residences.

    This preference is not a dismissal of equities but an acknowledgement that alternative investments for HNIs, like real estate, offer stability during market turbulence. The next step is to consider how portfolios can be structured to benefit from both asset classes

    Portfolio Strategies For The Future

    For HNIs and UHNIs, the most effective approach is not choosing one asset over the other, but aligning allocations with long-term goals.

    • Balanced allocation: Combine equities for growth with real estate for stability and diversification.
    • Focus on prime property: CInvest in Grade A and luxury residential assets that hold liquidity and premium appeal.
    • Tactical equity exposure: Use equities for tactical plays, sector-specific opportunities, and global diversification.
    • Embrace professional management: Leverage advisors for investment portfolio management that blends both asset classes optimally.

    This blended strategy ensures resilience in downturns and growth in upswings, delivering sustainable wealth across generations. It underlines the fact that the real debate is not either-or, but how the two work best together.

    At SQUAREA, we guide discerning investors in identifying prime opportunities where property not only preserves wealth but also compounds it. To explore bespoke strategies in India’s most prestigious markets, connect with us at hello@squarea.io or call +91 90 9641 9641.